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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15+2.57vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.03+1.90vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.36+0.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+0.72vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-3.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-4.30vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.32+2.05vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.25-1.54vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-2.74vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.41-3.97vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.22-4.40vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-3.39vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-6.70vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-2.85vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.9Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.08Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.72Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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3.7Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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3.7Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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11.05Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University2.250.0%1st Place
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8.26Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.03Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.93Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 13.5% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 8.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 20.1% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 20.1% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 21.8% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 73.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.