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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+3.67vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+1.63vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.41+4.86vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+1.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.25+3.46vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.15-0.31vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-3.37vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22+0.46vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.36-0.93vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29-1.68vs Predicted
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12Bates College1.32-0.79vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.82-6.27vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.03-7.79vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.38-3.87vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-2.83vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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3.63Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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7.86Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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5.05Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University2.250.0%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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3.63Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.07Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.32Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.21Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.73Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.21Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.13Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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14.17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 21.9% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 21.9% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 23.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 23.6% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 10.8% | 73.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.