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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Roger Williams University3.15+3.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+0.71vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+2.05vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.36+0.11vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.41+2.07vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.03-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.51-3.33vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60+1.39vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29-1.64vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.22-2.34vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.25-3.48vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.38-1.79vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.32-2.65vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.88-11.29vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.36-7.88vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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3.71Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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6.05Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.11Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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6.02Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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8.36Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University2.250.0%1st Place
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11.21Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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11.35Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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3.71Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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8.12Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 21.4% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 14.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 24.9% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 24.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 21.4% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 72.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.