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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+5.01vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88-0.25vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03+1.00vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36-0.83vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41+1.02vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36+0.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60+1.43vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-6.25vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.38+0.04vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.32-1.76vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.25-5.48vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.15-9.06vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.29-7.43vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.22-8.44vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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3.75Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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6.0Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.17Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.02Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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8.07Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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3.75Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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11.04Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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11.24Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University2.250.0%1st Place
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5.94Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.57Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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14.13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 14.7% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 20.1% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 20.1% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 21.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 24.0% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 9.5% | 74.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.