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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+0.79vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+1.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03+1.08vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+2.59vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41+1.01vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36+0.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.25-0.45vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.15-4.35vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.32+0.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-5.82vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.38-1.77vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.29-5.41vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-4.60vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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4.56University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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3.79Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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5.03Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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8.04Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University2.250.0%1st Place
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5.65Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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11.2Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.18Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.23Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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8.59Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 21.4% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 21.4% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 22.5% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 23.3% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 10.7% | 73.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.