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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.83+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.11+2.14vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.27+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.40+0.63vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.53-0.33vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.73-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.36-0.29vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.98-2.15vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.69-0.01vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-2.60-1.11vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-3.40-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Western Washington University0.8336.7%1st Place
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4.14University of Oregon0.1112.7%1st Place
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4.55Oregon State University-0.279.5%1st Place
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4.63University of Oregon-0.4010.9%1st Place
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4.67Unknown School-0.5310.1%1st Place
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5.24Western Washington University-0.737.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Oregon-1.364.3%1st Place
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5.85University of Oregon-0.986.2%1st Place
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8.99Gonzaga University-2.691.2%1st Place
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8.89Gonzaga University-2.601.1%1st Place
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9.88Gonzaga University-3.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alexander Turloff | 36.7% | 25.0% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Emily Avey | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 9.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Rowan Clinch | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Hunter Wheaton | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Calvin Blaser | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Molly McLeod | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
Euseekers Williams | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
Kevin McGann | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 19.6% | 29.7% | 23.9% |
Gabi Feleciano | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 20.5% | 29.8% | 21.3% |
Elias West | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 11.6% | 23.5% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.