Race 1B

veitor-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Mullins 19.9% 18.6% 15.8% 14.0% 9.8% 8.1% 5.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 7.1% 6.8% 8.2% 8.3% 9.4% 10.7% 9.7% 9.9% 11.1% 9.4% 5.9% 2.9% 0.6%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.7% 2.0% 2.3% 3.2% 5.5% 5.4% 6.2% 8.1% 9.4% 11.4% 19.7% 19.6% 4.5%
Sam Madden 11.6% 10.0% 11.4% 12.0% 10.3% 12.0% 7.4% 8.8% 6.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Cameron Fraser 12.2% 13.7% 13.2% 11.8% 8.8% 9.6% 9.6% 6.5% 7.2% 3.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Courtney Koos 8.5% 8.3% 8.4% 8.7% 9.5% 9.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.5% 7.2% 7.2% 2.6% 0.1%
Priscilla Stoll 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 2.4% 3.1% 3.1% 4.0% 5.3% 6.3% 9.6% 16.5% 33.3% 9.9%
Robert Lippincott 8.0% 8.0% 8.4% 8.9% 10.1% 9.8% 9.7% 10.5% 10.5% 8.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.3%
Hollister Poole 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 6.2% 6.2% 8.5% 8.3% 9.1% 12.2% 12.2% 12.3% 9.4% 1.7%
Connor Brady 14.9% 14.1% 13.6% 11.2% 12.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.1% 5.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Kate Shaner 5.5% 7.2% 7.7% 7.8% 9.0% 8.6% 12.3% 10.1% 9.9% 10.6% 6.7% 4.1% 0.5%
John Cappetta 3.0% 4.1% 3.5% 5.2% 5.4% 6.2% 6.5% 9.7% 10.0% 14.2% 17.5% 12.8% 1.9%
Bailey Rice 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 2.5% 2.5% 9.8% 80.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.