Race 2B

veitor-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cameron Fraser 12.5% 12.3% 12.5% 10.2% 12.0% 9.3% 9.9% 7.9% 7.2% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Ryan Mullins 21.2% 16.8% 15.3% 13.3% 12.3% 6.8% 7.1% 2.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Madden 9.0% 11.5% 11.7% 12.8% 8.5% 11.4% 10.4% 7.8% 7.1% 6.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
John Cappetta 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 4.8% 5.8% 6.3% 7.6% 9.5% 10.7% 13.4% 16.6% 11.7% 2.7%
Connor Brady 14.1% 17.0% 11.8% 11.6% 9.1% 11.1% 9.1% 5.5% 5.1% 3.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 8.6% 7.6% 8.9% 7.9% 9.4% 9.8% 11.8% 10.0% 8.3% 9.1% 5.5% 3.0% 0.1%
Genevieve Marquardt 3.6% 2.8% 3.4% 4.3% 5.4% 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 10.3% 12.9% 19.4% 19.1% 3.0%
Becker Awqatty 7.1% 7.9% 8.8% 7.7% 9.1% 10.1% 9.2% 13.3% 9.5% 8.1% 6.1% 2.8% 0.3%
Hollister Poole 4.8% 4.6% 5.2% 6.2% 6.1% 7.5% 8.0% 10.3% 12.4% 11.4% 12.4% 9.8% 1.3%
Courtney Koos 8.9% 7.1% 8.2% 9.7% 10.4% 9.9% 6.9% 11.1% 9.1% 9.1% 6.4% 3.0% 0.2%
Kate Shaner 5.5% 6.6% 8.2% 9.1% 8.6% 9.3% 9.5% 10.6% 11.0% 9.6% 7.6% 3.8% 0.6%
Priscilla Stoll 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 3.4% 3.9% 4.6% 5.8% 10.1% 15.3% 34.8% 12.2%
Bailey Rice 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 3.9% 9.9% 79.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.