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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+3.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+3.31vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+3.50vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+1.48vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00-0.64vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.82+1.78vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.55-4.31vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy2.03-1.04vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.33-3.78vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51-2.38vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.80-4.25vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.48-7.32vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-1.75vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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5.31Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.5Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.48Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.78Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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3.69Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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7.96Maine Maritime Academy2.030.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.75Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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6.68Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Madden | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Mullins | 22.3% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 4.1% |
| John Cappetta | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 2.6% |
| Becker Awqatty | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 77.8% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 30.5% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.