Race 4B

veitor-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Robert Lippincott 6.7% 8.4% 8.9% 8.8% 9.5% 8.7% 8.7% 10.3% 8.1% 7.6% 5.7% 5.7% 2.7% 0.2%
Connor Brady 14.8% 13.6% 12.9% 14.1% 10.2% 8.5% 10.0% 5.5% 4.2% 2.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2%
Sam Madden 11.2% 10.9% 11.0% 9.3% 10.9% 9.0% 8.7% 9.2% 7.2% 6.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Reid Secondo 3.5% 2.6% 4.8% 5.3% 4.6% 7.5% 5.9% 7.5% 9.6% 11.0% 9.8% 14.8% 11.4% 1.7%
Hollister Poole 3.6% 4.6% 4.9% 6.2% 7.3% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 10.1% 10.6% 10.7% 11.5% 7.9% 1.7%
Courtney Koos 7.6% 6.7% 7.1% 9.7% 7.9% 10.6% 10.6% 7.9% 9.3% 7.4% 7.0% 5.9% 2.1% 0.2%
Becker Awqatty 7.0% 7.7% 9.2% 7.9% 8.1% 10.0% 9.2% 9.4% 9.0% 8.7% 6.8% 4.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Ryan Mullins 20.3% 20.3% 13.0% 11.9% 10.2% 6.9% 7.3% 4.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Cappetta 4.4% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 5.0% 6.3% 5.5% 8.1% 8.9% 11.7% 14.3% 12.2% 10.0% 3.2%
Kate Shaner 4.9% 5.3% 7.0% 7.0% 9.6% 7.3% 8.4% 10.6% 8.5% 10.5% 9.7% 6.6% 4.1% 0.5%
Priscilla Stoll 1.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.4% 2.9% 2.6% 4.4% 3.5% 6.0% 7.0% 8.7% 15.9% 31.7% 11.3%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 4.8% 5.7% 7.8% 7.4% 9.8% 15.1% 14.9% 16.0% 4.3%
Bailey Rice 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 3.6% 11.0% 76.3%
Cameron Fraser 11.8% 12.8% 12.2% 11.0% 10.0% 10.8% 8.4% 7.6% 6.9% 4.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.