Race 5B

veitor-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cameron Fraser 10.9% 13.5% 11.3% 12.3% 10.7% 8.6% 8.5% 6.9% 6.6% 4.7% 3.6% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Brady 15.3% 13.7% 12.5% 13.3% 7.8% 12.0% 9.0% 5.3% 4.7% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Ryan Mullins 20.5% 18.4% 16.3% 11.5% 9.2% 9.2% 5.1% 4.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Madden 9.6% 11.6% 11.2% 10.0% 10.5% 9.7% 8.9% 7.6% 7.3% 7.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Reid Secondo 2.7% 3.9% 4.1% 5.3% 5.9% 5.5% 6.5% 8.3% 8.1% 10.4% 11.5% 14.5% 10.8% 2.5%
Kate Shaner 6.2% 4.4% 6.5% 7.4% 8.2% 8.5% 8.3% 10.8% 9.5% 8.1% 9.0% 7.2% 5.1% 0.8%
Robert Lippincott 9.0% 8.0% 7.4% 8.3% 10.1% 9.9% 9.1% 8.1% 8.9% 8.1% 6.5% 3.7% 2.8% 0.1%
Priscilla Stoll 1.5% 2.3% 2.5% 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 3.3% 3.8% 6.6% 5.7% 8.9% 14.4% 31.5% 11.5%
Courtney Koos 7.8% 6.5% 9.0% 7.3% 8.7% 9.0% 10.0% 10.9% 9.0% 8.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Hollister Poole 3.6% 4.6% 4.9% 5.4% 6.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.9% 8.2% 13.2% 12.3% 12.2% 6.0% 1.0%
John Cappetta 3.3% 3.5% 3.4% 4.6% 5.6% 5.3% 7.2% 7.1% 10.1% 10.5% 12.0% 14.3% 10.8% 2.3%
Becker Awqatty 6.4% 6.3% 7.7% 8.8% 9.3% 8.3% 9.5% 10.4% 8.9% 8.0% 7.4% 5.4% 3.0% 0.6%
Bailey Rice 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 3.7% 9.7% 77.2%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.2% 5.1% 4.2% 6.5% 6.9% 6.9% 9.3% 13.3% 16.0% 17.0% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.