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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+2.74vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+4.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.33+4.13vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+2.51vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.17-1.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.48-0.56vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.82+0.57vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.90-3.43vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.80-2.17vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51-2.38vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.17vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy2.03-7.04vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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6.31Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.51Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.85University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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6.44Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.57Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.57Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.83Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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7.96Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 22.4% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Brady | 13.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Reid Secondo | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 2.5% |
| Sam Madden | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| John Cappetta | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 4.1% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 29.7% | 11.3% |
| Hollister Poole | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.