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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+4.14vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.17+2.55vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+3.53vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.03+4.07vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.55-1.09vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82+2.78vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.80+1.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33-0.86vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-2.49vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.90-5.40vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.13vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.51-3.48vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.48-7.37vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.55University of South Florida3.170.2%1st Place
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6.53Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.07Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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3.91Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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8.78Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.46Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.51Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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9.52Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.63Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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13.29University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Connor Brady | 16.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Mullins | 17.2% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 2.4% |
| John Cappetta | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 2.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Madden | 10.4% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 30.6% | 12.2% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 3.7% |
| Becker Awqatty | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 11.5% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.