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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+3.71vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+3.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.55+0.77vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+6.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90+0.59vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.80+2.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.82+1.42vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54-2.53vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy2.03-1.89vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-4.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.33-4.79vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.51-3.47vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.48-8.33vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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5.0Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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3.77Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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5.59Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.84Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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8.42Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.47Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.11Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.53Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.67Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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13.3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 14.1% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 21.2% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 30.9% | 11.5% |
| Sam Madden | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Cappetta | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 2.7% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Hollister Poole | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 3.7% |
| Becker Awqatty | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 9.7% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.