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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.73vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.21+1.70vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+1.22vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.61+0.91vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18+1.31vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-1.80vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78-2.52vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9717.0%1st Place
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3.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2118.1%1st Place
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4.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0013.2%1st Place
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4.91Cornell University0.618.7%1st Place
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6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.184.5%1st Place
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4.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9914.2%1st Place
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4.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7811.2%1st Place
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4.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9113.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 17.0% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Pete McGriff | 18.1% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 6.5% |
| Maya Conway | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 13.7% |
| Owen Harrod | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 46.2% |
| Thomas Walker | 14.2% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Collin Porter | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 13.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.