← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Oregon0.11+3.12vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.83+0.42vs Predicted
-
3Unknown School-0.53+1.69vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-0.40+0.57vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University-0.27-0.44vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-1.36+0.83vs Predicted
-
7Gonzaga University-2.69+1.98vs Predicted
-
8Gonzaga University-2.60+0.89vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-0.98-3.07vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-0.73-4.80vs Predicted
-
11Gonzaga University-3.40-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.12University of Oregon0.1113.6%1st Place
-
2.42Western Washington University0.8335.9%1st Place
-
4.69Unknown School-0.5310.7%1st Place
-
4.57University of Oregon-0.4011.5%1st Place
-
4.56Oregon State University-0.279.2%1st Place
-
6.83University of Oregon-1.363.6%1st Place
-
8.98Gonzaga University-2.690.9%1st Place
-
8.89Gonzaga University-2.600.9%1st Place
-
5.93University of Oregon-0.985.1%1st Place
-
5.2Western Washington University-0.738.1%1st Place
-
9.8Gonzaga University-3.400.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emily Avey | 13.6% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Alexander Turloff | 35.9% | 24.9% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hunter Wheaton | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Rowan Clinch | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Molly McLeod | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 9.1% | 2.1% |
Kevin McGann | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 21.2% | 29.5% | 22.8% |
Gabi Feleciano | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 29.2% | 22.2% |
Euseekers Williams | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
Calvin Blaser | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Elias West | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 22.2% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.