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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.21+2.31vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18+3.57vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99+0.79vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78+0.14vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-1.27vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.60vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2119.1%1st Place
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5.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.184.8%1st Place
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3.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9916.2%1st Place
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4.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7811.1%1st Place
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0016.1%1st Place
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3.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9720.7%1st Place
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4.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9112.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete McGriff | 19.1% | 21.1% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Owen Harrod | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 48.3% |
| Thomas Walker | 16.2% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 9.8% |
| Collin Porter | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 12.1% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 16.1% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 7.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 20.7% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.