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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.21+2.38vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18+3.53vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99+0.81vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.61vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78-0.89vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-2.22vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2119.1%1st Place
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5.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.185.0%1st Place
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3.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9915.5%1st Place
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3.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9719.6%1st Place
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4.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7812.8%1st Place
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3.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0014.1%1st Place
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4.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9114.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete McGriff | 19.1% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Owen Harrod | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 48.8% |
| Thomas Walker | 15.5% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 8.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 19.6% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Collin Porter | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 12.3% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 14.1% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 7.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.