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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.41vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+1.73vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78+1.13vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.21-0.55vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.10vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18-0.35vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9719.1%1st Place
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0016.4%1st Place
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4.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7811.4%1st Place
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3.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2118.0%1st Place
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3.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9114.0%1st Place
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5.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.184.3%1st Place
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3.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9916.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 19.1% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 9.2% |
| Collin Porter | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 11.4% |
| Pete McGriff | 18.0% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 14.0% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 8.9% |
| Owen Harrod | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 50.4% |
| Thomas Walker | 16.8% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.