← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99+2.76vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.37vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.21+0.46vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-0.17vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78-0.92vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.05vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9917.2%1st Place
-
3.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9718.9%1st Place
-
3.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2117.8%1st Place
-
3.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0014.4%1st Place
-
4.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7812.3%1st Place
-
3.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9114.0%1st Place
-
5.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.185.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walker | 17.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 9.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 18.9% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
| Pete McGriff | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 4.9% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% |
| Collin Porter | 12.3% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 11.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.0% |
| Owen Harrod | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.