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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.37vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.21+1.34vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+0.82vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.03vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78-0.87vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-2.19vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9720.0%1st Place
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3.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2119.1%1st Place
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3.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0015.2%1st Place
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3.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9113.4%1st Place
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4.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7812.3%1st Place
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3.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9914.5%1st Place
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5.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.185.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 20.0% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Pete McGriff | 19.1% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 4.5% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 8.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 13.4% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 10.7% |
| Collin Porter | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 12.2% |
| Thomas Walker | 14.5% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 9.6% |
| Owen Harrod | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.