← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99+2.82vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.88vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.21-0.62vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78-0.89vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18-0.38vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9915.5%1st Place
-
3.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9718.6%1st Place
-
3.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9113.6%1st Place
-
3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2119.4%1st Place
-
4.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7812.9%1st Place
-
5.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.184.7%1st Place
-
3.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0015.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walker | 15.5% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 8.7% |
| Heather Kerns | 18.6% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 13.6% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 9.6% |
| Pete McGriff | 19.4% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 5.3% |
| Collin Porter | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| Owen Harrod | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 49.5% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 15.3% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.