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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+2.75vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99+1.71vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.41vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.21-0.59vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18+0.64vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78-1.91vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0014.2%1st Place
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3.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9917.0%1st Place
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9718.4%1st Place
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2119.4%1st Place
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5.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.184.5%1st Place
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4.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7812.6%1st Place
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3.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9114.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 14.2% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 7.7% |
| Thomas Walker | 17.0% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 8.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 18.4% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Pete McGriff | 19.4% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
| Owen Harrod | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 50.4% |
| Collin Porter | 12.6% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 11.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 14.0% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.