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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.43vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.21+1.41vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18+2.58vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-0.30vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.04vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78-1.84vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9720.3%1st Place
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2118.1%1st Place
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5.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.185.0%1st Place
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3.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9917.0%1st Place
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3.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9113.2%1st Place
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4.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7812.3%1st Place
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3.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0014.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 20.3% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 5.5% |
| Pete McGriff | 18.1% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Owen Harrod | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 49.4% |
| Thomas Walker | 17.0% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 13.2% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 10.3% |
| Collin Porter | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 14.2% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.