Race 11A

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alexander Turloff 35.2% 24.9% 15.4% 11.5% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Avey 12.8% 14.4% 14.9% 15.1% 13.7% 11.9% 8.5% 6.3% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Hunter Wheaton 9.1% 11.5% 13.4% 12.9% 14.3% 12.5% 12.8% 8.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Calvin Blaser 7.0% 9.4% 10.2% 10.6% 13.0% 13.1% 15.0% 12.1% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4%
Cassius Tossavainen 12.4% 13.0% 14.1% 13.3% 13.9% 12.5% 10.4% 6.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Molly McLeod 3.7% 4.7% 5.4% 6.5% 8.1% 8.9% 13.2% 19.9% 17.3% 9.6% 2.7%
Siena Beckett 6.7% 7.8% 7.9% 11.2% 10.6% 13.1% 15.6% 14.6% 9.4% 2.8% 0.2%
Rowan Clinch 10.0% 11.1% 14.5% 13.3% 13.6% 13.9% 10.7% 8.0% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Gabi Feleciano 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 4.5% 5.9% 9.3% 21.7% 30.6% 19.1%
Elias West 0.8% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 2.2% 3.9% 9.8% 21.9% 55.8%
Kevin McGann 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.8% 3.7% 4.0% 9.9% 21.4% 30.3% 21.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.