← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.29+5.47vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.56+7.05vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.18+3.88vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.20+3.06vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.87+3.10vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.93+1.94vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.64vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.77+3.74vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.81-0.75vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-3.52vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.51-5.20vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.45-5.87vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.29-6.46vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-2.88vs Predicted
-
15Villanova University1.30-1.73vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.21-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.47Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.05Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
6.88Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.06College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.1Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.94University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
10.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
-
11.74University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.25Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
5.8Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.13Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
6.54Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
-
11.12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
-
13.27Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
-
10.53Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.4% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 18.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Swanson | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 39.8% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.