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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.47vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+5.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+3.95vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+3.42vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19+0.75vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92+0.56vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.03+2.72vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.86+2.88vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18+0.32vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.49-1.58vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.37vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.71-4.60vs Predicted
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14Brown University4.30-7.78vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-5.15vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.55-3.25vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.18-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.57Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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4.84Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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6.75Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.72Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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10.32Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.42Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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13.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.22Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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12.75Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.0% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| William Bailey | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Ian Towill | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 31.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 19.9% |
| Alex Whipple | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.