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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.45vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+5.44vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+5.65vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+0.83vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.18+4.56vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+3.43vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08-1.19vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.55+3.84vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.86+1.55vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.19-4.34vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.71-3.66vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-3.69vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.97vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.03-4.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.54vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.89-9.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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4.83Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.01Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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10.43Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.84Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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6.66Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.34Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.31Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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10.89Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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13.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.73Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.9% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% |
| William Haeger | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 22.1% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Ian Towill | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 30.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.