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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+7.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+4.89vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+6.19vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+0.84vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+2.40vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.18+4.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30-0.82vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.19-1.55vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-1.17vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.71-1.81vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-0.45vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.37vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03-1.94vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.95vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.55-2.40vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.55vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.86-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.19Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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4.84Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.4Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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6.18Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.45Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.83Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.19Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.55Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.06Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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12.6Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| William Haeger | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Ian Towill | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% |
| Elliott Morrill | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 22.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 29.2% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.