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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.61vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+7.15vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.61vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+3.68vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.18+5.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30-0.82vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.19-1.50vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-0.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-3.22vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.92-3.30vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.55+0.64vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03-1.91vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.63-5.21vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-5.17vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.86-4.33vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.68Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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13.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.18Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.5Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.54Connecticut College3.710.0%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.64Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.09Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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9.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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10.47Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 18.9% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Alex Whipple | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 31.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 21.8% |
| Ian Towill | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Elliott Morrill | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.