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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.83+1.44vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-0.27+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.11+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.40+0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.36+1.70vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.86-0.37vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.53-2.27vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.73-2.73vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.60-0.05vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-3.40-0.14vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-2.69-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Western Washington University0.8334.9%1st Place
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4.59Oregon State University-0.279.8%1st Place
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4.13University of Oregon0.1112.8%1st Place
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4.69University of Oregon-0.409.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Oregon-1.363.9%1st Place
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5.63University of Oregon-0.867.2%1st Place
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4.73Unknown School-0.5310.8%1st Place
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5.27Western Washington University-0.738.1%1st Place
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8.95Gonzaga University-2.601.2%1st Place
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9.86Gonzaga University-3.400.8%1st Place
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8.99Gonzaga University-2.691.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 34.9% | 26.4% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 12.8% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Siena Beckett | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Blaser | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 23.0% | 30.5% | 21.1% |
| Elias West | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 11.1% | 21.8% | 53.5% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 20.8% | 31.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.