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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.54vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.40vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+2.09vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03+5.58vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+1.69vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.19-0.58vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.18+1.36vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-1.66vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-0.62vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.71-3.90vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-3.86vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.86-2.45vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.83vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.53-3.37vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.55-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.09Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.69Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.42Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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10.38Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.14Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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13.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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12.5Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 19.3% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| William Bailey | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ian Towill | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 6.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Whipple | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 27.6% |
| Wheeler Morris | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 18.9% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.