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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+4.90vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+2.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+3.80vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+3.42vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19+1.27vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+1.62vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+2.06vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.36vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.18+0.09vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.36vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.71-3.82vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.55-0.44vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-3.59vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.03-4.29vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.53-3.43vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.86-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.27Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.06Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.18Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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12.56Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.41Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.71Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.7% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Bailey | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 17.8% | 27.8% |
| Alex Whipple | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 18.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Ian Towill | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Wheeler Morris | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 19.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.