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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+6.16vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.03+8.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+2.99vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+5.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.18+4.97vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+2.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-0.21vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-3.33vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.19vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.86+0.52vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.63-3.54vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.89-5.40vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.53-1.31vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.55-2.54vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.19-9.61vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.68Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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5.99Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.09Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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8.32Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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4.67Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.6Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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12.46Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.39Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.33Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Towill | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 18.5% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 25.7% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Wheeler Morris | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 20.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 18.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.