← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.78+5.77vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+5.58vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.25vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.82+5.35vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.12+3.59vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.32+1.63vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College1.95+2.62vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+0.71vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University1.62+1.48vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.81-1.28vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute1.73-2.65vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.89-0.92vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.68-3.55vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.79-5.41vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan1.12-3.10vs Predicted
-
16North Carolina State University1.78-6.98vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin0.36-2.44vs Predicted
-
18Jacksonville University0.84-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.77University of Rhode Island2.789.4%1st Place
-
7.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.048.3%1st Place
-
7.25SUNY Maritime College2.518.8%1st Place
-
9.35George Washington University1.824.9%1st Place
-
8.59Tufts University2.126.4%1st Place
-
7.63University of Miami2.328.2%1st Place
-
9.62Connecticut College1.954.7%1st Place
-
8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.3%1st Place
-
10.48Florida State University1.623.9%1st Place
-
8.72Old Dominion University1.816.2%1st Place
-
8.35Webb Institute1.737.1%1st Place
-
11.08Fordham University1.893.5%1st Place
-
9.45Cornell University1.684.8%1st Place
-
8.59Boston University1.796.8%1st Place
-
11.9University of Michigan1.122.9%1st Place
-
9.02North Carolina State University1.785.7%1st Place
-
14.56University of Wisconsin0.361.5%1st Place
-
13.37Jacksonville University0.841.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Walter Henry | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Will Murray | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% |
| Adam Larson | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 35.9% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.