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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.52vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.41vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+7.20vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+2.16vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+2.23vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.53+6.74vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.19-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.86+3.17vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-1.34vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-3.35vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-2.66vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.49-3.00vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03-2.06vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.55-1.41vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-6.51vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.75vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.18-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.2Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.16Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.74University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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6.39Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.34Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.94Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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12.59Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 19.1% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Wheeler Morris | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 19.9% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Ian Towill | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 18.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 25.7% |
| Alex Whipple | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.