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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+6.50vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+4.38vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82+5.53vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+1.65vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.73+2.07vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.68+2.32vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89+3.16vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12-0.39vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-1.11vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.78-1.98vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.12+0.16vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-4.33vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.62-3.43vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.81-6.13vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.95-6.36vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.36-2.59vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.84-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5University of Miami2.328.4%1st Place
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7.37SUNY Maritime College2.518.7%1st Place
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7.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.048.0%1st Place
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9.53George Washington University1.825.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Rhode Island2.7811.3%1st Place
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8.07Webb Institute1.737.8%1st Place
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9.32Cornell University1.685.5%1st Place
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11.16Fordham University1.892.5%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University2.126.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston University1.795.1%1st Place
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9.02North Carolina State University1.785.5%1st Place
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12.16University of Michigan1.122.1%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.9%1st Place
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10.57Florida State University1.623.9%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University1.816.1%1st Place
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9.64Connecticut College1.954.8%1st Place
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14.41University of Wisconsin0.361.4%1st Place
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13.18Jacksonville University0.842.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Adam Larson | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% |
| Will Murray | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Walter Henry | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 35.8% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.