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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+2.61vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+5.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+0.89vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+2.33vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.18+3.17vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.03+2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota2.53+3.73vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18+0.13vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-2.33vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.55+0.46vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.89-5.43vs Predicted
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14Stanford University4.19-7.47vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-8.23vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.86-4.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.61Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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5.89Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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10.54Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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12.46Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.57Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.53Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.48University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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13.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.9% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Ian Towill | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| Wheeler Morris | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 18.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 20.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.