Race 1B

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sadie Creemer 5.6% 10.3% 11.3% 13.6% 12.3% 14.1% 11.3% 10.8% 7.4% 3.1%
Sebastian Green 57.6% 26.1% 10.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sofia Brown Patrico 12.4% 20.5% 20.7% 15.6% 13.3% 8.2% 5.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Hans Scheyer 5.7% 9.0% 13.1% 14.3% 13.0% 14.0% 11.2% 10.4% 6.4% 3.0%
Ryan Tuttle 2.7% 5.0% 8.6% 8.8% 10.0% 11.3% 13.1% 16.8% 15.2% 8.4%
Aaron Heard 5.4% 10.0% 11.2% 13.2% 13.6% 12.2% 13.1% 9.7% 8.2% 3.5%
Spencer Patten 1.8% 5.0% 5.7% 7.1% 8.7% 9.6% 13.6% 15.8% 18.6% 14.2%
Austin Victer 6.2% 8.8% 11.3% 14.2% 14.6% 14.4% 12.8% 9.8% 5.5% 2.4%
Kate Furman 0.9% 1.8% 3.0% 3.5% 5.7% 6.3% 7.4% 11.2% 16.4% 43.6%
Ben Walters 1.6% 3.5% 4.3% 5.9% 7.4% 9.4% 11.5% 13.6% 21.1% 21.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.