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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+9.47vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+8.62vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+4.68vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.80+3.32vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+1.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.37+3.13vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+3.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.84vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00+1.68vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-4.00vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.39-1.92vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-4.70vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.96-2.25vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.29-4.54vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-4.67vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-3.34vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.51-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.47University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.68Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.32Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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10.23Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.68Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.0Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.08Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.46Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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12.66Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% |
| Hans Henken | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| William Macdonald | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| William Hutchings | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% |
| Raul Rios | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Philip Crain | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% |
| Emily Billing | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 23.6% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.