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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+6.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+5.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+5.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+6.30vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+4.12vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.46vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.97vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93+1.97vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.96+0.51vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.37-1.86vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.00-1.59vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.11vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.39-4.95vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-4.67vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-3.31vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.12Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.51Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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10.41Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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12.69Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
| Emily Billing | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Philip Crain | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Raul Rios | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| James Simmons | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| William Hutchings | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.2% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 24.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.