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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+4.90vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.80+5.18vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+3.68vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+3.35vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+5.57vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+2.62vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+3.28vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37+0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan3.02+1.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.87vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.12vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.00-1.56vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-3.57vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.69-6.15vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.43-2.43vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.96-5.29vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.39-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.28Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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10.59University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.43Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.57Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.71Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hans Henken | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| William Macdonald | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Philip Crain | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| James Simmons | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Seago | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| Emily Billing | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 25.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.