← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.82+8.36vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College1.95+7.89vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.89+8.02vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute1.73+4.02vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.32+2.66vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.78+3.11vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.39+3.59vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.77vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.68+0.43vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.57-0.07vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.55-0.82vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University1.62-1.58vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-4.23vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-6.52vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan1.12-2.97vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.78-9.45vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin0.36-2.16vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.12-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.36George Washington University1.825.2%1st Place
-
9.89Connecticut College1.955.2%1st Place
-
11.02Fordham University1.893.8%1st Place
-
8.02Webb Institute1.737.5%1st Place
-
7.66University of Miami2.327.8%1st Place
-
9.11North Carolina State University1.785.5%1st Place
-
10.59Boston University1.394.2%1st Place
-
7.23SUNY Maritime College2.518.0%1st Place
-
9.43Cornell University1.685.0%1st Place
-
9.93Old Dominion University1.573.9%1st Place
-
10.18Jacksonville University1.554.5%1st Place
-
10.42Florida State University1.625.0%1st Place
-
8.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.2%1st Place
-
7.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.049.2%1st Place
-
12.03University of Michigan1.122.5%1st Place
-
6.55University of Rhode Island2.7810.4%1st Place
-
14.84University of Wisconsin0.360.3%1st Place
-
8.48Tufts University2.126.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Walter Henry | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Adam Larson | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Matthew King | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Joey Meagher | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Will Murray | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 41.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.