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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+6.08vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+5.42vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+6.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.07vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+4.67vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.37+1.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93+2.51vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.69-1.14vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.96+0.50vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.39-1.91vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-5.27vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-3.57vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-4.63vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-8.65vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.04Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.32Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.67Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.09Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.43Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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12.69Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% |
| William Hutchings | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| James Simmons | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| William Macdonald | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Emily Billing | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% |
| Philip Crain | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.