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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+8.49vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+6.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+3.54vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.45+6.33vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.65+4.11vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.62+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+2.75vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.86+0.49vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.77+4.80vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.61-0.29vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-1.54vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-3.65vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.95-4.37vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.10-2.48vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.42-7.18vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.59-6.91vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.50-3.56vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.79-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49Webb Institute1.434.2%1st Place
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8.25University of Miami1.936.5%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University2.2210.2%1st Place
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10.33Connecticut College1.453.9%1st Place
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9.11Boston University1.656.5%1st Place
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9.03Fordham University1.625.7%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Santa Barbara1.445.0%1st Place
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8.49George Washington University1.866.4%1st Place
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13.8North Carolina State University0.771.2%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island1.615.2%1st Place
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9.46Jacksonville University-1.386.0%1st Place
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8.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.5%1st Place
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8.63Florida State University1.956.2%1st Place
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11.52University of Wisconsin1.103.0%1st Place
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7.82SUNY Maritime College0.428.4%1st Place
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9.09Old Dominion University1.595.8%1st Place
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13.44University of Michigan0.501.7%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University1.797.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
| Micky Munns | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Owen Timms | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 30.4% |
| Miles Williams | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 23.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.