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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+6.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.92vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.71vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+3.80vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+5.58vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.52vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39+1.93vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29+1.12vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-2.14vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.96+0.49vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.62vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-1.73vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43-0.23vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.51-5.43vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-4.66vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.00-5.39vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.37-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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5.92Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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9.12Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.49Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.27Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.77Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.61Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Raul Rios | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| James Simmons | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% |
| Philip Crain | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Emily Billing | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 25.8% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| William Hutchings | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.