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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+6.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.95vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.80+4.30vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+4.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.12vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+0.92vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+3.26vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.47vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00+1.68vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-2.79vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.29-1.50vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-1.22vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.39-3.96vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan3.02-3.47vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.37-6.05vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.96-5.30vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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5.95Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.3Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.68Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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9.5Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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12.65Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Raul Rios | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hans Henken | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| William Macdonald | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 8.0% |
| Philip Crain | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Emily Billing | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| James Simmons | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 7.9% |
| William Hutchings | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.