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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+5.63vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+6.35vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+6.69vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.62+5.04vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.65+4.02vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+3.38vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.95+1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.93+0.58vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-0.60vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.86-1.51vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59-1.73vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.45-1.73vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-3.57vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.43-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.10-3.63vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.42-8.14vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.77-3.06vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.50-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Tufts University2.2210.9%1st Place
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8.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.8%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island1.614.0%1st Place
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9.04Fordham University1.626.0%1st Place
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9.02Boston University1.656.2%1st Place
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9.38Jacksonville University-1.385.0%1st Place
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8.62Florida State University1.956.4%1st Place
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8.58University of Miami1.936.2%1st Place
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8.4Cornell University1.796.3%1st Place
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8.49George Washington University1.865.6%1st Place
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9.27Old Dominion University1.595.9%1st Place
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10.27Connecticut College1.454.4%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.445.6%1st Place
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9.26Webb Institute1.435.5%1st Place
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11.37University of Wisconsin1.103.5%1st Place
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7.86SUNY Maritime College0.427.6%1st Place
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13.94North Carolina State University0.771.8%1st Place
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13.41University of Michigan0.502.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Miles Williams | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Micky Munns | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Emily Allen | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Owen Timms | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 29.8% |
| Brody Schwartz | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.