← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.00+9.25vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+5.19vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.69+4.69vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.37+5.03vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.96+5.43vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.39+3.11vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.80+0.23vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan3.02+2.18vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont3.51-0.37vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.95-3.36vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.29-1.52vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University2.43+0.56vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.05-2.52vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.14vs Predicted
-
15Boston College4.12-8.91vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-9.74vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island2.93-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.25Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
-
7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.69Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.03Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.43Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
-
9.11Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.23Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
-
10.18University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
-
8.63University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
6.64Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.48Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
12.56Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
10.48Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
6.09Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.88University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% |
| Philip Crain | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| William Hutchings | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Hans Henken | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| William Macdonald | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Emily Billing | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 25.7% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% |
| Raul Rios | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| James Simmons | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.