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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+6.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+5.42vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+3.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+3.81vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39+3.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95-0.32vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.80-0.83vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05+1.47vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93+0.61vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.17vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.96-1.38vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan3.02-2.43vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-1.27vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.29-5.73vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.00-5.45vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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5.94Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.81Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.17Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.47Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.62Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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12.73Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.27Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.55Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Raul Rios | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Philip Crain | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| William Hutchings | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Hans Henken | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% |
| James Simmons | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 26.5% |
| Emily Billing | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.