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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.62+8.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+4.56vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+6.68vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79+4.41vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+3.44vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.59+3.21vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+2.46vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.43+1.32vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.61+0.73vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.86-1.57vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.45-0.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-2.35vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-3.87vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.88-5.68vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.10-3.65vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.50-2.29vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.26-5.71vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.95-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.35Fordham University1.624.8%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University2.2211.9%1st Place
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9.68University of Miami1.645.2%1st Place
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8.41Cornell University1.796.2%1st Place
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8.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.0%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University1.595.3%1st Place
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9.46Jacksonville University-1.386.0%1st Place
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9.32Webb Institute1.435.3%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island1.614.7%1st Place
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8.43George Washington University1.867.2%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College1.454.3%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.445.3%1st Place
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9.13Boston University1.655.0%1st Place
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8.32SUNY Maritime College1.886.7%1st Place
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11.35University of Wisconsin1.103.5%1st Place
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13.71University of Michigan0.501.4%1st Place
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11.29North Carolina State University1.263.5%1st Place
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8.58Florida State University1.956.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Steven Hardee | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Emily Allen | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Miles Williams | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Owen Timms | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Micky Munns | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Spencer Barnes | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 32.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.