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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+6.09vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.96vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.73vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+3.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+2.50vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+4.98vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.37+2.04vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.39+0.69vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.96+1.87vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05+0.16vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.29-1.53vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan3.02-1.63vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-6.22vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.00-3.38vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-6.59vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-3.35vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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5.96Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.47Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.62Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.65Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Raul Rios | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% |
| Philip Crain | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| James Simmons | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| William Hutchings | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% |
| Emily Billing | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% |
| William Macdonald | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 25.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.