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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+5.54vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.61+7.77vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.43+6.46vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.64+5.81vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.65+4.03vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+3.67vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.62+2.21vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.25vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.95-0.33vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-0.46vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59-1.78vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.45-1.82vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-4.55vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.26-2.73vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.79-6.71vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.86-7.39vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.10-5.36vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.50-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Tufts University2.2211.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island1.615.1%1st Place
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9.46Webb Institute1.435.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Miami1.644.8%1st Place
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9.03Boston University1.655.7%1st Place
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9.67Jacksonville University-1.385.0%1st Place
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9.21Fordham University1.626.0%1st Place
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8.25SUNY Maritime College1.887.5%1st Place
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8.67Florida State University1.955.6%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.445.8%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University1.595.5%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College1.454.9%1st Place
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8.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.3%1st Place
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11.27North Carolina State University1.264.2%1st Place
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8.29Cornell University1.796.2%1st Place
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8.61George Washington University1.866.3%1st Place
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11.64University of Wisconsin1.103.0%1st Place
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13.39University of Michigan0.502.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Miles Williams | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Micky Munns | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Emily Allen | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Owen Timms | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.8% |
| Brody Schwartz | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.