Race 11B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Morgan Wilson 9.6% 12.8% 12.3% 11.8% 13.3% 11.7% 10.8% 8.3% 6.3% 2.6% 0.5%
Sara Morgan Watters 27.9% 21.6% 14.8% 13.0% 9.2% 6.9% 2.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Billing 9.8% 10.9% 10.6% 11.6% 12.1% 10.2% 11.9% 9.5% 8.1% 4.8% 0.5%
Lauren Burke 5.8% 7.1% 7.4% 8.0% 8.2% 11.8% 11.4% 13.0% 12.1% 11.9% 3.3%
Corey Hall 10.8% 10.1% 12.6% 11.4% 9.8% 9.8% 11.8% 10.0% 7.0% 5.8% 0.9%
Emilie Mademann 7.2% 8.4% 8.6% 8.9% 9.6% 11.5% 10.8% 10.9% 12.6% 8.8% 2.7%
Sara Burke 7.1% 6.4% 7.7% 7.6% 10.6% 10.0% 10.6% 12.2% 11.8% 12.4% 3.6%
Abby Featherstone 11.8% 10.6% 13.3% 13.6% 11.2% 9.2% 9.9% 7.6% 8.4% 3.8% 0.6%
Kathryn Metscher 6.6% 8.1% 7.8% 9.3% 8.8% 11.4% 10.7% 12.1% 12.9% 9.2% 3.1%
Mary Cummins 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 4.0% 5.6% 6.0% 6.5% 11.3% 13.8% 30.6% 12.2%
Francesca Ferrero 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 2.9% 2.2% 6.1% 10.0% 72.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.