Race 1A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Owen Kohut 25.0% 22.2% 17.1% 13.5% 10.0% 6.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.4%
Teddy Martin 12.6% 12.9% 12.5% 14.1% 12.3% 12.0% 11.4% 8.0% 4.2%
Benjamin Smith 14.6% 14.2% 16.1% 13.2% 11.8% 11.3% 9.4% 6.3% 2.9%
Joseph Marynowski 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 10.0% 11.8% 12.2% 13.6% 16.7% 13.2%
Hugh Carty 12.1% 12.4% 12.2% 13.2% 13.8% 12.6% 10.4% 9.2% 4.1%
Eva Wieting 3.6% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 7.8% 11.1% 16.2% 42.9%
Olivia Gilmore 5.5% 5.8% 6.8% 7.1% 10.2% 12.0% 14.1% 19.6% 18.9%
Mats Braaten 7.0% 8.8% 10.3% 11.2% 12.4% 12.8% 15.2% 13.7% 8.6%
Tyler Brown 12.7% 12.8% 12.5% 12.6% 12.1% 13.1% 11.2% 8.2% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.