Race 2B

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sebastian Green 56.3% 25.2% 12.7% 3.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sofia Brown Patrico 12.8% 19.8% 20.1% 17.9% 12.9% 6.9% 6.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Sadie Creemer 4.6% 11.5% 11.2% 13.0% 12.6% 13.7% 12.8% 10.2% 7.8% 2.8%
Aaron Heard 5.1% 8.0% 11.3% 12.2% 13.0% 13.5% 13.7% 11.8% 8.3% 3.0%
Hans Scheyer 6.1% 9.4% 11.3% 13.2% 14.9% 14.5% 11.1% 10.7% 6.3% 2.5%
Ryan Tuttle 2.9% 5.0% 8.0% 8.6% 9.7% 11.9% 12.6% 15.6% 15.8% 10.1%
Spencer Patten 2.2% 4.9% 5.7% 8.3% 9.4% 10.4% 12.5% 15.0% 17.5% 14.0%
Kate Furman 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 3.2% 4.7% 6.5% 8.3% 10.8% 16.1% 43.5%
Austin Victer 6.5% 10.2% 12.1% 13.7% 13.6% 13.2% 11.7% 9.2% 7.2% 2.7%
Ben Walters 2.1% 3.5% 4.5% 6.7% 7.4% 9.1% 11.2% 14.4% 19.9% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.