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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+7.18vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+7.24vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+5.28vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.45+6.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+1.36vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.95+2.45vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.61+2.49vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.65+0.87vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-0.79vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.62-1.00vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.64-1.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-2.64vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.77+0.52vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.59-5.00vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.27-4.98vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.10-4.72vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.43-7.80vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.50-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.2%1st Place
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9.24Jacksonville University-1.385.3%1st Place
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8.28SUNY Maritime College1.887.2%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College1.454.8%1st Place
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6.36Tufts University2.2211.8%1st Place
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8.45Florida State University1.956.5%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island1.614.8%1st Place
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8.87Boston University1.655.7%1st Place
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8.21Cornell University1.797.1%1st Place
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9.0Fordham University1.626.6%1st Place
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9.28University of Miami1.645.5%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.445.3%1st Place
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13.52North Carolina State University0.772.1%1st Place
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9.0Old Dominion University1.595.6%1st Place
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10.02George Washington University1.274.3%1st Place
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11.28University of Wisconsin1.103.9%1st Place
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9.2Webb Institute1.435.5%1st Place
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13.14University of Michigan0.501.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Emily Allen | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Miles Williams | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Micky Munns | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Steven Hardee | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Harrison Bailey | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 28.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.