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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+6.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+5.21vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+7.54vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+4.54vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+1.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+0.92vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+3.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29+1.18vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.39+0.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-2.34vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.04vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43+0.61vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-3.24vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-3.03vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-4.56vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.37-6.87vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.54Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.02Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.38Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.18Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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7.66Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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12.61Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Philip Crain | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| Emily Billing | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 26.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| James Simmons | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% |
| William Hutchings | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.