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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+4.69vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+5.94vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan3.02+6.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+3.92vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.80+1.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51+0.31vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.43+3.84vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-0.75vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-0.53vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-1.22vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-3.24vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.00-3.30vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-4.23vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-9.67vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.69-9.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.51Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.84Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.25Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.47Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.7Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 13.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% |
| William Hutchings | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Hans Henken | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Philip Crain | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 27.8% |
| Emily Billing | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| James Simmons | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.